CO2 released from combustion of fossil fuels equilibrates among the various carbon reservoirs of the atmosphere, the ocean, and the terrestrial biosphere on timescales of a few centuries. However, a sizeable fraction of the CO2 remains in the atmosphere, awaiting a return to the solid earth by much slower weathering processes and deposition of CaCO3. Common measures of the atmospheric lifetime of CO2, including the e-folding time scale, disregard the long tail. Its neglect in the calculation of global warming potentials leads many to underestimate the longevity of anthropogenic global warming. Here, we review the past literature on the atmospheric lifetime of fossil fuel CO2 and its impact on climate, and we present initial results from a model intercomparison project on this topic. The models agree that 20–35% of the CO2 remains in the atmosphere after equilibration with the ocean (2–20 centuries). Neutralization by CaCO3 draws the airborne fraction down further on timescales of 3 to 7 kyr.
| This review | |
|---|---|
| Atmospheric Lifetime of Fossil Fuel Carbon Dioxide | |
| David Archer, Michael Eby, Victor Brovkin, Andy Ridgwell, Long Cao, Uwe Mikolajewicz, Ken Caldeira, Katsumi Matsumoto, Guy Munhoven, Alvaro Montenegro, Kathy Tokos | |
| Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences.
Volume 37,
Page 117-134,
2009 | |
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: A Perturbation of Carbon Cycle, Climate, and Biosphere with Implications for the Future | |
| Francesca A. McInerney, Scott L. Wing | |
| Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences.
Volume 39,
Page 489-516,
2011 | |
The Science of Geoengineering | |
| Ken Caldeira, Govindasamy Bala, Long Cao | |
| Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences.
Volume 41,
Page 231-256,
2013 | |
Short-Lived Climate Pollution | |
| R.T. Pierrehumbert | |
| Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences.
Volume 42,
Page 341-379,
2014 | |
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