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Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics

Volume 55, 2024

Observed and Potential Range Shifts of Native and Nonnative Species with Climate Change

Abstract

There is broad concern that the range shifts of global flora and fauna will not keep up with climate change, increasing the likelihood of population declines and extinctions. Many populations of nonnative species already have advantages over native species, including widespread human-aided dispersal and release from natural enemies. But do nonnative species also have an advantage with climate change? Here, we review observed and potential range shifts for native and nonnative species globally. We show that nonnative species are expanding their ranges orders of magnitude faster than native species, reflecting both traits that enable rapid spread and ongoing human-mediated introduction. We further show that nonnative species have large potential ranges and range expansions with climate change, likely due to a combination of widespread introduction and broader climatic tolerances. With faster spread rates and larger potential to persist or expand, nonnative populations have a decided advantage in a changing climate.

Keyword(s): alien species, biological invasion, global environmental change, range shift, species distribution modeling, species spread rate
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/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102722-013135
2024-11-04
2025-04-20
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/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102722-013135
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Observed and Potential Range Shifts of Native and Nonnative Species with Climate Change
Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 55, 23 (2024); https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102722-013135
/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102722-013135
/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102722-013135
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