Faster Than You Think: Renewable Energy and Developing Countries

Literature Cited

1. Arent DJ, Wise A, Gelman R 2011. The status and prospects of renewable energy for combating global warming. Energy Econ 33:584–93
   [Google Scholar]
2. Azuela GE, Barroso L, Khanna A, Wang X, Wu Y, Cunha G 2014. Performance of renewable energy auctions: experience in Brazil, China and India Policy Res. Work. Pap 7062 World Bank Washington, DC: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/842071468020372456/pdf/WPS7062.pdf
3. Bazilian M, Nussbaumer P, Rogner H-H, Brew-Hammond A, Foster V et al. 2012a. Energy access scenarios to 2030 for the power sector in sub-Saharan Africa. Util. Policy 20:11–16
   [Google Scholar]
4. Bazilian M, Nussbaumer P, Singer CE, Brew-Hammond A, Modi V et al. 2012b. Improving access to modern energy services: insights from case studies. Electricity J 25:193–114
   [Google Scholar]
5. Bhattacharya M, Paramati SR, Ozturk I, Bhattacharya S 2016. The effect of renewable energy consumption on economic growth: evidence from top 38 countries. Appl. Energy 162:733–41
   [Google Scholar]
6. Bhattacharya SC. 2018. Mini-grids for the base of the pyramid market: a critical review. Energies 11:813
   [Google Scholar]
7. Bistline JE. 2017. Economic and technical challenges of flexible operations under large-scale variable renewable deployment. Energy Econ 64:363–72
   [Google Scholar]
8. Blyth WJ, Bunn DW, Chronopoulos M 2012. Electricity market evolution under deep decarbonisation Exec. Summ., Oxford Energy Assoc., London Bus. Sch., Electric Power Res. Inst Oxfordshire, UK:
9. Cabraal RA, Barnes DF, Agarwal SG 2005. Productive uses of energy for rural development. Annu. Rev. Environ. Resour. 30:117–44
   [Google Scholar]
10. Cherp A, Jewell J, Goldthau A 2011. Governing global energy: systems, transitions, complexity. Global Policy 2:175–88
    [Google Scholar]
11. Cho A. 2010. Energy's tricky tradeoffs. Science 329:786–87
    [Google Scholar]
12. Clarke L, Edmonds J, Jacoby H, Pitcher H, Reilly J, Richels R 2007. Scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions and atmospheric concentrations Synth. Assess. Prod 21a US Clim Change Sci. Prog., Subcomm. Global Change Res., Dep. Energy Washington, DC: https://globalchange.mit.edu/sites/default/files/CCSP_SAP2-1a-FullReport.pdf
13. Cochran J, Bird L, Heeter J, Arent DA 2012. Integrating variable renewable energy in electric power markets: best practices from international experience Rep. NREL/TP-6A20–53732, Natl. Renew Energy Lab Golden, CO:
14. Cochran J, Miller M, Milligan M, Ela E, Arent D et al. 2013. Market evolution: wholesale electricity market design for 21st century power systems Tech. Rep NREL/TP-6A20–57477, Natl. Renew. Energy Lab. Golden, CO:
15. Coester A, Hofkes MW, Papyrakis E 2018. Economics of renewable energy expansion and security of supply: a dynamic simulation of the German electricity market. Appl. Energy 231:1268–84
    [Google Scholar]
16. D'Aprile A. 2016. Advances and slowdowns in Carbon Capture and Storage technology development ICCG Reflect. 48, Int. Cent Clim. Gov Venice, Italy: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2771044
17. Dincer I. 2000. Renewable energy and sustainable development: a crucial review. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 4:2157–75
    [Google Scholar]
18. DOE (RSA Dep. Energy) 2011. Integrated resource plan for electricity 2010–2030. Revision 2 Final Rep., DOE, Pretoria, S Afr: http://www.energy.gov.za/IRP/irp%20files/IRP2010_2030_Final_Report_20110325.pdf
19. DOE (RSA Dep. Energy) 2016. Integrated resource plan update: assumptions, base case results and observations. Revision 1 Rep., DOE, Pretoria, S Afr. http://www.energy.gov.za/IRP/2016/Draft-IRP-2016-Assumptions-Base-Case-and-Observations-Revision1.pdf
20. DOE (RSA Dep. Energy) 2018. Integrated resource plan 2018 Final Draft Rep DOE, Pretoria, S Afr: http://www.energy.gov.za/IRP/irp-update-draft-report2018/IRP-Update-2018-Draft-for-Comments.pdf
21. Doris E. 2012. Policy building blocks: helping policymakers determine policy staging for the development of distributed PV markets Rep., NREL/CP-7A30–54801, Natl. Renew. Energy Lab Golden, CO:
22. Edenhofer O, Pichs-Madruga R, Sokona Y 2012. Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation: Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
23. Eskom 2017. Medium-term system adequacy outlook 2017 to 2022 Rep., Eskom, Sandton, S Afr: http://www.eskom.co.za/Whatweredoing/SupplyStatus/Documents/MTSAO_Oct2017Report.pdf
24. Eurek K, Sullivan P, Gleason M, Hettinger D, Heimiller D, Lopez A 2017. An improved global wind resource estimate for integrated assessment models. Energy Econ 64:552–67
    [Google Scholar]
25. Flues F, Löschel A, Lutz BJ, Schenker O 2014. Designing an EU energy and climate policy portfolio for 2030: implications of overlapping regulation under different levels of electricity demand. Energy Policy 75:91–99
    [Google Scholar]
26. Foster V, Briceño-Garmendia CM 2009. Africa's Infrastructure: A Time for Transformation Washington, DC: World Bank
27. Frankf. Sch. Finance Manag 2018. Global trends in renewable energy investment 2018 Rep., Frankf. Sch. Finance Manag., Frankf Ger: http://www.iberglobal.com/files/2018/renewable_trends.pdf
28. Fujino J, Nair R, Kainuma M, Masui T, Matsuoka Y 2006. Multi-gas mitigation analysis on stabilization scenarios using aim global model. Energy J 27:343–53
    [Google Scholar]
29. GEA (Global Energy Assess.) 2012. Toward a Sustainable Future Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA http://www.globalenergyassessment.org/
30. Gebretsadik Y, Fant C, Strzepek K, Arndt C 2016. Optimized reservoir operation model of regional wind and hydro power integration. Appl. Energy 161:574–82
    [Google Scholar]
31. Geels FW, Sovacool BK, Schwanen T, Sorrell S 2017a. Sociotechnical transitions for deep decarbonization. Science 357:63571242–44
    [Google Scholar]
32. Geels FW, Sovacool BK, Schwanen T, Sorrell S 2017b. The socio-technical dynamics of low-carbon transitions. Joule 1:3463–79
    [Google Scholar]
33. Global CCS Inst 2016. The global status of CCS 2016 Summ. Rep., Docklands Aust: https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/Global-Status-Report-2016_Summary.pdf
34. Global Comm. Geopolit. Energy Transform., Van de Graaf T 2019. A New World: The Geopolitics of the Energy Transformation Abu Dhabi: IRENA http://hdl.handle.net/1854/LU-8588274
35. Green R, Vasilakos N. 2010. Market behaviour with large amounts of intermittent generation. Energy Policy 38:73211–20
    [Google Scholar]
36. Hall LMH, Buckley AR. 2016. A review of energy systems models in the UK: prevalent usage and categorisation. Appl. Energy 169:607–28
    [Google Scholar]
37. Hartley F, Merven B, Arndt C 2019. Quantifying the macro- and socioeconomic benefits of a transition to renewable energy in South Africa. Part 2: economic impacts SA-TIED Work Pap 26 SA-TIED/IFPRI Washington, DC: http://sa-tied.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/pdf/SATIED_WP26_January_2019_Hartley_Merven_Arndt_Ireland.pdf
38. IEA (Int. Energy Agency) 2008. World energy outlook 2008 Rep IEA Paris: https://www.iea.org/media/weowebsite/2008-1994/WEO2008.pdf
39. IEA (Int. Energy Agency) 2016. Medium-term renewable energy market report 2016 IEA Paris: https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/energy/medium-term-renewable-energy-market-report-2016_renewmar-2016-en
40. IEA (Int. Energy Agency) 2018a. Global renewable energy IEA/IRENA joint policies and measures database IEA Paris: https://www.iea.org/policiesandmeasures/renewableenergy/
41. IEA (Int. Energy Agency) 2018b. Status of power system transformation 2018: advanced power plant flexibility Rep IEA Paris: https://www.21stcenturypower.org/assets/pdfs/main-report.pdf
42. IPCC (Intergov. Panel Clim. Change) 2007. Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change M Parry, O Canziani, J Palutikof, P van der Linden, C Hanson Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg2/ar4_wg2_full_report.pdf
    [Google Scholar]
43. IRENA (Int. Renew. Energy Agency) 2017a. Planning for the Renewable Future: Long-Term Modelling and Tools to Expand Variable Renewable Power in Emerging Economies Abu Dhabi: IRENA https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2017/IRENA_Planning_for_the_Renewable_Future_2017.pdf
44. IRENA (Int. Renew. Energy Agency) 2017b. REthinking Energy 2017: Accelerating the Global Energy Transformation Abu Dhabi: IRENA https://www.irena.org/publications/2017/Jan/REthinking-Energy-2017-Accelerating-the-global-energy-transformation
45. IRENA (Int. Renew. Energy Agency) 2018. Renewable Energy Auctions: Cases from Sub-Saharan Africa Abu Dhabi: IRENA http://www.irena.org/publications/2018/Apr/Renewable-energy-auctions-Cases-from-sub-Saharan-Africa
46. Krook-Riekkola A, Berg C, Ahlgren EO, Söderholm P 2017. Challenges in top-down and bottom-up soft-linking: lessons from linking a Swedish energy system model with a CGE model. Energy 141:803–17
    [Google Scholar]
47. Kumar A, Sah B, Singh AR, Deng Y, He X et al. 2017. A review of multi criteria decision making (MCDM) towards sustainable renewable energy development. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 69:596–609
    [Google Scholar]
48. Lazard 2016. Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis—version 10.0 Rep Lazard New York: https://www.lazard.com/media/438038/levelized-cost-of-energy-v100.pdf
49. Liebreich M. 2017. Six design principles for the power markets of the future—a personal view. Bloomberg New Energy Finance May 24 https://data.bloomberglp.com/bnef/sites/14/2017/05/Liebreich-Six-Design-Principles-for-the-Power-Markets-of-the-Future.pdf
    [Google Scholar]
50. Lovering JR, Yip A, Nordhaus T 2016. Historical construction costs of global nuclear power reactors. Energy Policy 91:371–82
    [Google Scholar]
51. Lucas H, Ferroukhi R, Hawila D 2013. Renewable energy auctions in developing countries Rep IRENA Abu Dhabi: http://www.irena.org/publications/2013/Jun/Renewable-Energy-Auctions-in-Developing-Countries
52. Luderer G, Pietzcker C, Carrara S, Sytze de Boer H, Fujimori S et al. 2017. Assessment of wind and solar power in global low-carbon energy scenarios: an introduction. Energy Econ 64:542–51
    [Google Scholar]
53. Lund PD, Lindgren J, Mikkola J, Salpakari J 2015. Review of energy system flexibility measures to enable high levels of variable renewable electricity. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 45:785–807
    [Google Scholar]
54. McCall B, Burton J, Marquard A, Hartley F, Ahjum F et al. 2019. Least-cost integrated resource planning and cost-optimal climate change mitigation policy: alternatives for the South African electricity system Rep Energy Res. Cent., Univ Cape Town: http://www.erc.uct.ac.za/sites/default/files/image_tool/images/119/Papers-2019/Alt%20IRP%20final%2007022019_2.pdf
55. McCollum DL, Zhou W, Bertram C, de Boer H-S, Bosetti V et al. 2018. Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. Nat. Energy 3:589–99
    [Google Scholar]
56. Merven B, Ireland G, Hartley F, Arndt C, Hughes A et al. 2018. Quantifying the macro- and socio-economic benefits of a transition to renewable energy in South Africa SA-TIED Work. Pap 18/2018 SA-TIED/IFPRI Washington, DC: http://sa-tied.wider.unu.edu/article/quantifying-macro-and-socio-economic-benefits-transition-renewable-energy-in-south-africa
57. Mileva A, Johnston J, Nelson JH, Kammen DM 2016. Power system balancing for deep decarbonization of the electricity sector. Appl. Energy 162:1001–9
    [Google Scholar]
58. Moriarty D, Honnery D. 2012. What is the global potential for renewable energy. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 16:244–52
    [Google Scholar]
59. Nakata T, Silva D, Rodionov M 2011. Application of energy system models for designing a low-carbon society. Prog. Energy Combust. Sci. 37:4462–502
    [Google Scholar]
60. Nakicenovic N, Swart R 2000. Emissions Scenarios: Summary for Policymakers Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
61. NRC (Natl. Res. Counc.) 2011. America's Climate Choices Washington, DC: Natl. Acad. Press
62. Obersteiner C, Saguan M. 2010. Parameters influencing the market value of wind power—a model-based analysis of the Central European power market. Eur. Trans. Electr. Power 21:61856–68
    [Google Scholar]
63. Ossenbrink J, Finnsson S, Bening CR, Hoffmann VH 2018. Delineating policy mixes: contrasting top-down and bottom-up approaches to the case of energy-storage policy in California. Res. Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2018.04.014
    [Crossref] [Google Scholar]
64. Pfenninger S, Hirth L, Schlecht I, Schmid E, Wiese F et al. 2018. Opening the black box of energy modelling: strategies and lessons learned. Energy Strateg. Rev. 19:63–71
    [Google Scholar]
65. Pöyry Energy Consult 2009. Impact of intermittency: how wind variability could change the shape of the British and the Irish electricity markets Summ. Rep., Pöyry Energy Consult Helsinki: http://www.poyry.com/sites/default/files/impactofintermittencygbandi-july2009-energy.pdf
66. Reber T, Chartan J, Erol K, Brinkman GL 2018. Preliminary findings of the South Africa power system capacity expansion and operational modelling study: preprint Rep., US Dep. Energy Washington, DC: https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1417140
67. REN21 (Renew. Energy Network 21) 2018. Renewables 2018: global status report Rep REN21 Paris: http://www.ren21.net/REN21Activities/GlobalStatusReport.aspx
68. Riahi K, Grübler A, Nakicenovic N 2007. Scenarios of long-term socio-economic and environmental development under climate stabilization. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 74:887–935
    [Google Scholar]
69. Rogelj J, Luderer G, Pietzcker RC, Kriegler E, Schaeffer M et al. 2015. Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5°C. Nat. Clim. Change 5:519–27
    [Google Scholar]
70. Rogelj J, Popp A, Calvin KV, Luderer G, Emmerling J et al. 2018. Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5°C. Nat. Clim. Change 8:325–32
    [Google Scholar]
71. Rose A, Stoner R, Pérez-Arriaga I 2016. Prospects for grid-connected solar PV in Kenya: a systems approach. Appl. Energy 161:583–90
    [Google Scholar]
72. Sàenz de Miera G, del Rìo Gonzàlez P, Vizcaìno I 2008. Analysing the impact of renewable electricity support schemes on power prices: the case of wind electricity in Spain. Energy Policy 36:93345–59
    [Google Scholar]
73. Scenar. Build. Team 2007. Long term mitigation scenarios: strategic options for South Africa Scenar. Doc., October, Dep. Environ. Aff. Tourism, Pretoria, S Afr: https://open.uct.ac.za/bitstream/handle/11427/16804/Scenario_Building_Team_Long_Term_Mitigation_2007.pdf?sequence=1
74. SE4ALL (Sustain. Energy for All) 2016. Renewables win more than half of Chile's power tender. CIREC Week Aug. 23. https://www.seforall.org/content/renewables-win-more-half-chile-power-tender
    [Google Scholar]
75. Sensfuß F, Ragwitz M, Genoese M 2008. The merit-order effect: a detailed analysis of the price effect of renewable electricity generation on spot market prices in Germany. Energy Policy 36:83086–94
    [Google Scholar]
76. Sovacool BK. 2012. The political economy of energy poverty: a review of key challenges. Energy Sustain. Dev. 16:3272–82
    [Google Scholar]
77. Tomabechi K. 2010. Energy resources in the future. Energies 3:686–95
    [Google Scholar]
78. UNDP (United Nations Dev. Prog.) 2013. A toolkit of policy options to support inclusive green growth. Revised version (July 2013) of the original submission to the G20 Development Working Group Rep UNDP New York: http://www.undp.org/content/dam/undp/library/Environment%20and%20Energy/IGG-ToolkitAfDB-OECD-UN-WB-revised_July_2013.pdf
79. UNEP (United Nations Environ. Prog.) 2011. Towards a Green Economy: Pathways to Sustainable Development and Poverty Eradication Nairobi: UNEP
80. Van Vuuren DP, den Elzen MGJ, Lucas PL, Eickhout B, Strengers BJ et al. 2007. Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at low levels: an assessment of reduction strategies and costs. Clim. Change 81:119–59
    [Google Scholar]
81. Van Vuuren DP, Eickhout B, Lucas PL, den Elzen MGJ 2006. Long-term multi-gas scenarios to stabilize radiative forcing—exploring costs and benefits within an integrated assessment framework. Energy J 27:201–33
    [Google Scholar]
82. Weijermars R, Taylor P, Bahn O, Das SR, Wei YM 2012. Review of models and actors in energy mix optimization—Can leader visions and decisions align with optimum model strategies for our future energy systems. Energy Strateg. Rev. 1:5–18
    [Google Scholar]
83. World Bank 2012. Inclusive Green Growth: The Pathway to Sustainable Development Washington, DC: World Bank
84. World Bank Group 2018. Myanmar living conditions survey 2017 Key Indic. Rep. 01 World Bank Group Washington, DC:. , 2nd ed.. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/739461530021973802/Myanmar-living-conditions-survey-2017-key-indicators-report
85. Wright JG, Bischof-Niemz T, Calitz J, Mushwana C, van Heerden R, Senatla M 2017. Formal comments on the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) Update Assumptions, Base Case and Observations Rep Counc. Sci. Ind. Res., Pretoria, S Afr: https://www.csir.co.za/sites/default/files/Documents/20170331CSIR_EC_DOE.pdf
86. Yadoo A, Cruickshank H. 2012. The role for low carbon electrification technologies in poverty reduction and climate change strategies: a focus on renewable energy mini-grids with case studies in Nepal, Peru and Kenya. Energy Policy 42:591–602
    [Google Scholar]
87. Zinaman O, Miller M, Adil A, Arent D, Cochran J et al. 2015. Power systems of the future: a 21st century power partnership thought leadership report Tech. Rep. NREL/TP-6A20–62611, Natl. Renew Energy Lab Golden, CO: