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Volume 33, 2008

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I. Earth's Life Support Systems

Climate Modeling

Leo J. Donner and William G. Large
Vol. 33, 2008, pp. 1–17

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Abstract

Climate models simulate the atmosphere, given atmospheric composition and energy from the sun, and include explicit modeling of, and exchanges with, the underlying oceans, sea ice, and land. The models are based on physical principles governing momentum, ...Read More

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Figure 1: Schematic illustration of the components of climate and Earth-system models. The components of current climate models are gray. The additional components required to construct Earth-system m...

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Figure 2: (a) Observed and modeled seasonal cycle showing the extent of Arctic sea ice. (b) Observed (54) and (c) modeled (55) March-minus-September differences in fractional Arctic sea-ice coverage.

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Figure 3: Spatial distributions of correlations of SST anomalies with anomalies averaged over the white box that defines the Niño 3 region from (a) the Hadley Centre Sea Ice and SST data set (HadISST)...

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Figure 4: Temperatures during the twentieth century in 19 simulations by five climate models. Reprinted with permission from Reference 51, Figure SPM.4, p. 11.

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Figure 5: Relative changes in precipitation for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenario A1B for 2090–2099 relative to 1980–1999 (51). The left panel shows changes for D...


Global Carbon Emissions in the Coming Decades: The Case of China

Mark D. Levine and Nathaniel T. Aden
Vol. 33, 2008, pp. 19–38

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Abstract

China's annual energy-related carbon emissions surpassed those of the United States in 2006, years ahead of published international and Chinese forecasts. Why were forecasts so greatly in error and what drove the rapid growth of China's energy-related ...Read More

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Figure 1: Annual energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, 1980–2006. Sources: U.S. annual emissions amounts reported by U.S. Energy Information Administration in the 2006 Annual Energy Review (2) and ...

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Figure 2: Annual energy-related carbon emissions, 1950–2006. Source: Historical 1950–2003 U.S. and global emissions data from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Cen...

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Figure 3: Average global, Chinese (PRC), and U.S. per capita energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, 1950–2004. Source: China's emissions are derived from the revised total energy consumption data pu...

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Figure 4: Cumulative energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, 1950–2006. Source: Historical 1800–1980 U.S. emissions data from Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center...

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Figure 5: China's historical carbon dioxide emissions estimates, 1980–2006. Sources: IEA, Carbon Emissions from Fossil Fuel Combustion 2007 (post-1997 estimates include Hong Kong) (6, 31); ORNL, Carbo...

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Figure 6: Historical and forecast Chinese carbon emissions (World Energy Outlook), 1990–2030. Note: forecasts are displayed as linearly continuous on the basis of published periodic data (4, 5, 7–11).

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Figure 7: Historical and forecast Chinese carbon emissions (International Energy Outlook), 1990–2030. Note: forecasts are displayed as linearly continuous on the basis of published periodic data (4, 5...

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Figure 8: Historical and forecast Chinese carbon emissions, 1990–2030. Note: forecasts are displayed as linearly continuous on the basis of published periodic or future single-point data (4, 5, 34–36)...

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Figure 9: China's GDP, carbon dioxide emissions, and population growth, 1980–2006. Source: emissions are derived from revised total energy consumption data published in the 2007 China Statistical Year...

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Figure 10: Carbon intensity of China's GDP Growth, 1980–2006. The numbers in this figure are calculated according to the revised total energy consumption data published in the 2007 China Statistical Y...

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Figure 11: Carbon elasticity of GDP growth, 1981–2006. Sources: China's National Bureau of Statistics revised deflated GDP data (4); emissions data are calculated according to the revised total energy...

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Figure 12: China's fossil fuel reserve base, 2006. Source: China's National Bureau of Statistics (4).

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Figure 13: Carbon intensity of energy production, 1980–2006. Note: China's emissions are derived from the revised total energy consumption data published in the 2007 China Statistical Yearbook (4) and...

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Figure 14: China's global trade by value (current U.S. dollars), 1995–2006. Source: China Customs Bureau (4).

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Figure 15: Annual appliance-related carbon emissions reductions, 2000–2020 (67).


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Abstract

Restoration ecology provides the conceptual and practical frameworks to guide management interventions aimed at repairing environmental damage. Restoration activities range from local to regional and from volunteer efforts to large-scale multiagency ...Read More

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Figure 1: Summary of the state and transition approach to ecosystem degradation and restoration. States are indicated in boxes, and possible transitions between states are shown by arrows. Hypothesize...

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Figure 2: Representative restoration activities across a spectrum of levels of intervention. Modified from (9, 150).

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Figure 3: Relative preference of spontaneous succession and technical reclamation along the productivity-stress gradient. Characteristics relevant to restoration are also related to the gradient (56).

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Figure 4: Value of restored habitat versus the financial input to the restoration project for a number of different scenarios. 1. Habitat value increases linearly with the amount spent on the restorat...

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Figure 5: Interactions among global change drivers, ecosystem and societal responses, potential outcomes, and management actions (note: diagram illustrates indicative factors and is not meant to provi...


II. Human Use of Environment and Resources

Advanced Passenger Transport Technologies

Daniel Sperling and Deborah Gordon
Vol. 33, 2008, pp. 63–84

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Abstract

Passenger transportation has evolved toward greater reliance on light-duty vehicles. The result, especially in the United States but increasingly elsewhere, is a car-centric transportation monoculture. Conventional cars provide a high level of personal ...Read More

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Figure 1: Fuel economy versus vehicle efficiency for (a) U.S. passenger cars and (b) light trucks (pickups, minivans, SUVs), 1975–2004, Lutsey & Sperling (26).

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Figure 2: U.S. hybrid market historical sales (1999–2007) (83–84).


Droughts

Giorgos Kallis
Vol. 33, 2008, pp. 85–118

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Abstract

This chapter provides an interdisciplinary review of the drought literature. Droughts are widely perceived as hydroclimatic hazards. In reality droughts are socioenvironmental phenomena, produced by admixtures of climatic, hydrological, environmental, ...Read More

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Figure 1: The U.S. Drought Monitor for the week of March 25, 2008. The map was downloaded from the Web site of the National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska, Lincoln (23a). See the te...


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Abstract

The global population without complete sanitation services is enormous; it includes those without access to basic, household-level sanitation (2.6 billion) as well as those without adequate collection, treatment, and disposal or reuse of their waste. The ...Read More

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Figure 1: Schematic illustrating potential combinations of sanitation components and corresponding sections of this text. Abbreviations: NTS, natural treatment system; PF, pour-flush; VIP, ventilated ...


Forage Fish: From Ecosystems to Markets

Jacqueline Alder, Brooke Campbell, Vasiliki Karpouzi, Kristin Kaschner, Daniel Pauly
Vol. 33, 2008, pp. 153–166

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Abstract

Fisheries targeting small-to-medium pelagic, so-called forage fish, impact on human food security and marine ecosystems. Because their operations are shrouded by the myth that forage fish are unsuitable for human consumption, the role of these fisheries ...Read More

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Figure 1: Trends in landings for reduction fisheries 1960 to 2001, by major regions. Region-specific information is not available between 1970 and 1976 (48, 49).

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Figure 2: Trends in the composition of fishmeal on the basis of the top species destined for reduction that made up at least 75% of the fish used by volume for reduction in 1976 and 2001; (a) top five...

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Figure 3: Trend in weighted mean trophic level of fish destined for reduction from 1976 to 2001 (49). The mean trophic level was calculated as described in Pauly & Watson (17).

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Figure 4: Map of predicted global small pelagic fish consumption rate by all seabirds combined for an average year in the 1990s.

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Figure 5: Distribution of estimated marine mammal food consumption rates (tkm−2year−1) of small pelagics for an average year in the 1990s (22).

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Figure 6: Map of estimated overlap in resource exploitation of small pelagics by marine mammals and fisheries for an average year in the 1990s.

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Figure 7: Forage fish landed and consumed directly by humans as a percentage of global landings (49, 50).

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Figure 8: Per capita consumption of small fish from 1961 to 2002 (51).

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Figure 9: Proportion of fishmeal consumed in aquaculture for major aquaculture-producing countries in 1980, 1985, 1990, 1995, and 2001 (52–55).



Certification Schemes and the Impacts on Forests and Forestry

Graeme Auld, Lars H. Gulbrandsen, Constance L. McDermott
Vol. 33, 2008, pp. 187–211

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Abstract

Certification schemes have emerged in recent years to become a significant and innovative venue for standard setting and governance in the environmental realm. This review examines these schemes in the forest sector where, arguably, their development is ...Read More

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Figure 1: Program for the Endorsement of Forest Certification (PEFC)–certified areas by country and areas as a percentage of total national forest areas. From the PEFC (42) and the UN Food and Agricul...

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Figure 2: Forest Stewardship Council (FSC)–certified areas and as percentages of a country's total forest lands from the FSC (44) and the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (43).

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Figure 3: Areas FSC and PEFC certified as percentage of national forest cover versus per annum change in forest cover for 2000 to 2005. Sources: UN Food and Agriculture Organization (43), Program for ...


III. Management, Guidance, and Governance of Resources and Environment


Enabling Sustainable Production-Consumption Systems

Louis Lebel and Sylvia Lorek
Vol. 33, 2008, pp. 241–275

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Abstract

The pursuit of sustainability in particular places and sectors often unravels at the edges. Efforts to tackle environmental problems in one place shift them somewhere else or are overwhelmed by external changes in drivers. Gains in energy efficiency of ... Read More

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Figure 1: Material flows and derived utilities in a generalized production (P) and consumption (C) system that draws on environmental resources (E) and adds waste to sinks (S). Solid lines are flows. ...



Abstract - FiguresPreview

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Land-change science (LCS) and political ecology (PE) have emerged as two complementary but parallel approaches of addressing human-environment dynamics for sustainability. They share common intellectual legacies, are highly interdisciplinary, and provide ...Read More

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Figure 1: Simplified lineage of the human-environmental traditions addressed. Notes: Other interpretations of the research clusters identified in this figure exist (1, 57). Land-change science, for ex...




Abstract - FiguresPreview

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The Earth system and society's use of ecological resources are tightly coupled through exchanges of water, energy, and nutrients. Terrestrial vegetation transfers materials between the atmosphere, biosphere, and water bodies in the coupled system. ...Read More

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Figure 1: MODIS-derived 500-m true-color global data set for January (top) and July (bottom). From http://onearth.jpl.nasa.gov/.

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Figure 2: Volumetric renderings of canopy structure of an approximately 1-km2 area of the La Selva Biological Research Station, Costa Rica. Data were collected using NASA's Laser Vegetation Imaging Se...

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Figure 3: Linkages between human society and terrestrial vegetation. Remote sensing data contribute to understanding these linkages through mapping crop yields, land cover, vegetation productivity, ur...

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Figure 4: Annual change from 1998 to 2003 in forest degradation from selective logging and burning in the Sinop region, Mato Grosso state, Brazil. Data from Landsat 5 (bands 5, 4, and 3). Color bar in...


A Rough Guide to Environmental Art

John E. Thornes
Vol. 33, 2008, pp. 391–411

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Abstract

To appreciate the beauty or the fragility of our environment and our cultural responses to it, we need to understand how artists have portrayed the environment in the past and how they are continuing to portray it in the present. Environmental art is ...Read More

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Figure 1: John Constable: Cloud Study, 1822, Tate Britain, (NO6065). Inscribed: “27 augt 11, o clock Noon/looking Eastward/large Silvery (clouds?) wind Gentle at S West”

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Figure 2: Richard Long: A Line Made By Walking, 1967, Tate Britain, (Po7149).

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Figure 3: Andy Goldsworthy: Hanging Trees. Oxley Bank, Yorkshire Sculpture Park. 2006 (Detail). Photo; Jonty Wilde.

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Figure 4: James Turrell: Deer Shelter, an Art Fund Commission, A Skyspace, Yorkshire Sculpture Park, 2006, concrete, stone, brick. Photo; Jonty Wilde.



IV. Integrative Themes


The Environmental Reach of Asia

James N. Galloway, Frank J. Dentener, Elina Marmer, Zucong Cai, Yash P. Abrol, V.K. Dadhwal, A. Vel Murugan
Vol. 33, 2008, pp. 461–481

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Abstract

More than 10,000 years ago, humans began an experiment on the environmental consequences of resource use. The environmental changes were at first local. By 6000 years ago, the consequences had begun to be manifested at the regional and global scales. At ...Read More

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Figure 1: Temporal patterns in production of energy in panel (a), fertilizer in panel (b), cereal in panel (c), and meat in panel (d) for Asia and the world, and the percentage contribution from Asia.

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Figure 2: South Asia and East Asia according to the Task Force for Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution (12). The gray boxes indicate the geographical extent of these regions.

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Figure 3: Total annual average anthropogenic emissions of NOx (g N m−2 yr−1) in panel (a), SO2 (g S m−2 yr−1) in panel (b), NH3 (g N m−2 yr−1) in panel (c), black carbon (g C m−2 yr−1) in panel (d), a...

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Figure 4: Annual total depositions (wet and dry) of NOy (g N m−2 yr−1) in panel (a), NHx (g N m−2 yr−1) in panel (b), total N (NOy + NHx) (g N m−2 yr−1) in panel (c), total S (SO4 and SO2) (g S m−2 yr...

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Figure 5: Changes in annual total deposition of nitrogen (mg N m−2 yr−1) in panels (a,b), sulfur (mg S m−2 yr−1) in panels (c,d), and black carbon (mg C m−2 yr−1) in panels (e,f), and annual average s...

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Figure 6: Relative increases in nitrogen (NOy + NHx) in panels (a,c) and sulfur deposition in panels (b,d) for the CLE and IPCC-A2 scenarios in 2030 relative to the year 2000 (23, 24).

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Figure 7: Temporal trends in China and India in the consumption of energy in panel (a), N fertilizer in panel (b), cereal in panel (c) and meat in panel (d) (, ).

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Figure 8: Temporal variation of total consumption of N fertilizers in China from 1961 to 2006 (35, 36).

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Figure 9: Cereal (circles) and vegetable (squares) production in China from 1961 to 2004 (3).

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Figure 10: Number of cattle, pigs, and chickens in China from 1961 to 2005 (35).

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Figure 11: Intensive and extensive transformation of agricultural land use in India (57).