1932
0
  1. Home
  2. A-Z Publications
  3. Annual Review of Astronomy and Astrophysics
  4. Volume 60, 2022
  5. Article

Annual Review of Astronomy and Astrophysics

Volume 60, 2022

Photometric Redshifts for Next-Generation Surveys

Abstract

Photometric redshifts are essential in studies of both galaxy evolution and cosmology, as they enable analyses of objects too numerous or faint for spectroscopy. The Rubin Observatory, , and will soon provide a new generation of imaging surveys with unprecedented area coverage, wavelength range, and depth. To take full advantage of these data sets, further progress in photometric redshift methods is needed. In this review, we focus on the greatest common challenges and prospects for improvement in applications of photometric redshifts to the next generation of surveys:

  • ▪  Gains in performance (i.e., the precision of redshift estimates for individual galaxies) could greatly enhance studies of galaxy evolution and some probes of cosmology.
  • ▪  Improvements in characterization (i.e., the accurate recovery of redshift distributions of galaxies in the presence of uncertainty on individual redshifts) are urgently needed for cosmological measurements with next-generation surveys.

To achieve both of these goals, improvements in the scope and treatment of the samples of spectroscopic redshifts that make high-fidelity photometric redshifts possible will also be needed. For the full potential of the next generation of surveys to be reached, the characterization of redshift distributions must improve by roughly an order of magnitude compared with the current state of the art, requiring progress on a wide variety of fronts. We conclude by presenting a speculative evaluation of how photometric redshift methods and the collection of the necessary spectroscopic samples may improve by the time near-future surveys are completed.

Keyword(s): cosmology, galaxies, galaxy evolution, machine learning, probability
Loading

Article metrics loading...

/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-astro-032122-014611
2022-08-18
2024-05-07
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

/deliver/fulltext/astro/60/1/annurev-astro-032122-014611.html?itemId=/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-astro-032122-014611&mimeType=html&fmt=ahah

Literature Cited

  1. Abul Hayat M, Harrington P, Stein G, Lukić Z, Mustafa M. 2021. arXiv:2101.04293 [astro-ph]
  2. Abul Hayat M, Stein G, Harrington P, Lukić Z, Mustafa M 2020. arXiv:2012.13083 [astro-ph]
  3. Acquaviva V, Gawiser E, Guaita L. 2011. Astrophys. J. 737:247
  4. Aihara H, AlSayyad Y, Ando M et al. 2021. arXiv:2108.13045 [astro-ph]
  5. Aihara H, Arimoto N, Armstrong R et al. 2018. Publ. Astron. Soc. Jpn. 70:S4
  6. Alarcon A, Gaztanaga E, Eriksen M et al. 2021. MNRAS 501:46103–22
  7. Alarcon A, Sánchez C, Bernstein GM, Gaztañaga E. 2020. MNRAS 498:22614–31
  8. Albrecht A, Bernstein G, Cahn R et al. 2006. arXiv:astro-ph/0609591
  9. Allen SW, Evrard AE, Mantz AB. 2011. Annu. Rev. Astron. Astrophys. 49:409–70
  10. Almosallam IA, Jarvis MJ, Roberts SJ. 2016. MNRAS 462:1726–39
  11. Arnouts S, Cristiani S, Moscardini L et al. 1999. MNRAS 310:2540–56
  12. Baldauf T, Smith RE, Seljak U, Mandelbaum R. 2010. Phys. Rev. D 81:063531
  13. Baum WA 1962. Problems of Extra-Galactic Research GC McVittie 390–400 New York: Macmillan
  14. Beck R, Dobos L, Budavári T, Szalay AS, Csabai I. 2016. MNRAS 460:21371–81
  15. Benítez N. 2000. Astrophys. J. 536:2571–83
  16. Bernstein G, Huterer D. 2010. MNRAS 401:21399–408
  17. Bonnett C, Troxel MA, Hartley W et al. 2016. Phys. Rev. D 94:042005
  18. Bordoloi R, Lilly SJ, Amara A. 2010. MNRAS 406:2881–95
  19. Brammer GB, van Dokkum PG, Coppi P. 2008. Astrophys. J. 686:21503–13
  20. Brescia M, Cavuoti S, Razim O et al. 2021. Front. Astron. Space Sci. 8:70
  21. Brinchmann J, Inami H, Bacon R et al. 2017. Astron. Astrophys. 608:A3
  22. Bruzual G, Charlot S 1993. Astrophys. J. 405:538–53
  23. Bruzual G, Charlot S 2003. MNRAS 344:41000–28
  24. Buchs R, Davis C, Gruen D et al. 2019. MNRAS 489:1820–41
  25. Budavári T. 2009. Astrophys. J. 695:1747–54
  26. Bundy K, Leauthaud A, Saito S et al. 2017. Astrophys. J. 851:134
  27. Carnall AC, McLure RJ, Dunlop JS, Davé R. 2018. MNRAS 480:44379–401
  28. Carnero A, Sánchez E, Crocce M, Cabré A, Gaztañaga E. 2012. MNRAS 419:21689–94
  29. Carrasco Kind M, Brunner RJ. 2013. MNRAS 432:21483–501
  30. Carrasco Kind M, Brunner RJ. 2014. MNRAS 441:43550–61
  31. Cawthon R, Elvin-Poole J, Porredon A et al. 2020. arXiv:2012.12826 [astro-ph]
  32. Chang YY, van der Wel A, Rix HW et al. 2013. Astrophys. J. 773:2149
  33. Chevallard J, Charlot S 2016. MNRAS 462:21415–43
  34. Chevance M, Weijmans AM, Damjanov I et al. 2012. Astrophys. J. Lett. 754:2L24
  35. Coelho PRT, Bruzual G, Charlot S 2019. MNRAS 491:22025–42
  36. Coil AL, Blanton MR, Burles SM et al. 2011. Astrophys. J. 741:18
  37. Coleman GD, Wu CC, Weedman DW. 1980. Astrophys. J. Suppl. 43:393–416
  38. Collister AA, Lahav O. 2004. Publ. Astron. Soc. Pac. 116:818345–51
  39. Connolly AJ, Szalay AS, Bershady MA, Kinney AL, Calzetti D. 1995. Astron. J. 110:1071–82
  40. Conroy C. 2013. Annu. Rev. Astron. Astrophys. 51:393–455
  41. Conroy C, Gunn JE. 2010. Astrophys. J. 712:833–57
  42. Cooper MC, Newman JA, Croton DJ et al. 2006. MNRAS 370:1198–212
  43. Cooper MC, Newman JA, Madgwick DS et al. 2005. Astrophys. J. 634:2833–48
  44. Cordero JP, Harrison I, Rollins RP et al. 2021. arXiv:2109.09636 [astro-ph]
  45. Courteau S, Cappellari M, de Jong RS et al. 2014. Rev. Mod. Phys. 86:147–119
  46. Crenshaw JF, Connolly AJ. 2020. Astron. J. 160:4191
  47. Cunha CE, Huterer D, Busha MT, Wechsler RH. 2012. MNRAS 423:1909–24
  48. Dahlen T, Mobasher B, Faber SM et al. 2013. Astrophys. J. 775:293
  49. Dalmasso N, Pospisil T, Lee AB et al. 2020. Astron. Comput. 30:100362
  50. de Jong RS, Agertz O, Berbel AA et al. 2019. Messenger 175:3–11
  51. De Vicente J, Sánchez E, Sevilla-Noarbe I. 2016. MNRAS 459:33078–88
  52. DES Collab 2016. MNRAS 460:21270–99
  53. DES Collab 2021a. arXiv:2101.05765 [astro-ph]
  54. DES Collab 2021b. arXiv:2107.04646 [astro-ph]
  55. DESI Collab 2016a. arXiv:1611.00036 [astro-ph]
  56. DESI Collab 2016b. arXiv:1611.00037 [astro-ph]
  57. Dey B, Andrews BH, Newman JA et al. 2021a. arXiv:2112.03939 [astro-ph]
  58. Dey B, Newman JA, Andrews BH et al. 2021b. arXiv:2110.15209 [astro-ph]
  59. Doré O, Werner MW, Ashby MLN et al. 2018. arXiv:1805.05489 [astro-ph]
  60. Dunlop JS, Cirasuolo M, McLure RJ. 2007. MNRAS 376:31054–64
  61. Eddington AS. 1913. MNRAS 73:359–60
  62. Efstathiou G. 1992. MNRAS 256:2P43–47
  63. Ellis R, Dawson K. 2019. Bull. Am. Astron. Soc. 51:7 https://baas.aas.org/pub/2020n7i045
  64. Euclid Collab 2020. Astron. Astrophys. 644:A31
  65. Everett S, Yanny B, Kuropatkin N et al. 2020. arXiv:2012.12825 [astro-ph]
  66. Faber SM, Phillips AC, Kibrick RI et al. 2003. Proc. SPIE 4841. https://doi.org/10.1117/12.460346
    [Crossref]
  67. Fagioli M, Tortorelli L, Herbel J et al. 2020. J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 06:050
  68. Feldmann R, Carollo CM, Porciani C et al. 2006. MNRAS 372:2565–77
  69. Feroz F, Hobson MP, Bridges M. 2009. MNRAS 398:41601–14
  70. Finkelstein SL, Ryan RE Jr., Papovich C et al. 2015. Astrophys. J. 810:171
  71. Gatti M, Giannini G, Bernstein GM et al. 2022. MNRAS 5101223–47
  72. Geha M, Wechsler RH, Mao YY et al. 2017. Astrophys. J. 847:14
  73. George D, Huerta EA. 2018. Phys. Lett. B 778:64–70
  74. Gorecki A, Abate A, Ansari R et al. 2014. Astron. Astrophys. 561:A128
  75. Graham ML, Connolly AJ, Ivezić Ž et al. 2018. Astron. J. 155:11
  76. Grogin NA, Kocevski DD, Faber SM et al. 2011. Astrophys. J. Suppl. 197:235
  77. Gruen D, Brimioulle F. 2017. MNRAS 468:1769–82
  78. Guzzo L, Scodeggio M, Garilli B et al. 2014. Astron. Astrophys. 566:A108
  79. Hartley WG, Chang C, Samani S et al. 2020. MNRAS 496:44769–86
  80. Hearin AP, Zentner AR, Ma Z, Huterer D. 2010. Astrophys. J. 720:21351–69
  81. Henghes B, Pettitt C, Thiyagalingam J, Hey T, Lahav O. 2021. arXiv:2109.02503 [astro-ph]
  82. Herbel J, Kacprzak T, Amara A et al. 2017. J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 08:035
  83. Hezaveh YD, Perreault Levasseur L, Marshall PJ 2017. Nature 548:7669555–57
  84. Hikage C, Oguri M, Hamana T et al. 2019. Publ. Astron. Soc. Jpn. 71:243
  85. Hildebrandt H, Köhlinger F, van den Busch JL et al. 2020a. Astron. Astrophys. 633:A69
  86. Hildebrandt H, Köhlinger F, van den Busch JL et al. 2020b. Astron. Astrophys. 633:A69
  87. Hildebrandt H, van den Busch JL, Wright AH et al. 2021. Astron. Astrophys. 647:A124
  88. Hildebrandt H, Viola M, Heymans C et al. 2017. MNRAS 465:21454–98
  89. Hill A, Flagey N, McConnachie A et al. 2018. arXiv:1810.08695 [astro-ph]
  90. Hogg DW, Blanton MR, Eisenstein DJ et al. 2003. Astrophys. J. Lett. 585:1L5–9
  91. Hoyle B. 2016. Astron. Comput. 16:34–40
  92. Hoyle B, Gruen D, Bernstein GM et al. 2018. MNRAS 478:1592–610
  93. Hu W. 1999. Astrophys. J. Lett. 522:1L21–24
  94. Huang JS, Faber SM, Willmer CNA et al. 2013. Astrophys. J. 766:121
  95. Huang S, Leauthaud A, Murata R et al. 2018. Publ. Astron. Soc. Jpn. 70:S6
  96. Hubble E, Tolman RC. 1935. Astrophys. J. 82:302–37
  97. Ilbert O, Arnouts S, McCracken HJ et al. 2006. Astron. Astrophys. 457:3841–56
  98. Ivezić Ž, Kahn SM, Tyson JA et al. 2019. Astrophys. J. 873:2111
  99. Joudaki S, Hildebrandt H, Traykova D et al. 2020. Astron. Astrophys. 638:L1
  100. Kasim MF, Watson-Parris D, Deaconu L et al. 2020. arXiv:2001.08055 [stat]
  101. Kinney AL, Calzetti D, Bohlin RC et al. 1996. Astrophys. J. 467:38–60
  102. Kodra D. 2019. The galaxy morphology–density relation at high redshift with CANDELS PhD Thesis Univ. Pittsburgh Pittsburgh, PA:
  103. Koo DC. 1985. Astron. J. 90:418–40
  104. Laigle C, McCracken HJ, Ilbert O et al. 2016. Astrophys. J. Suppl. 224:224
  105. Lang D, Hogg DW. 2012. Astron. J. 144:246
  106. Laureijs R, Amiaux J, Arduini S et al. 2011. arXiv:1110.3193 [astro-ph]
  107. Lawrence J, Ben-Ami S, Braulio A et al. 2020. Proc. SPIE 11447. https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2563238
    [Crossref]
  108. Le Fèvre O, Cassata P, Cucciati O et al. 2013. Astron. Astrophys. 559:A14
  109. Leistedt B, Hogg DW, Wechsler RH, DeRose J. 2019. Astrophys. J. 881:180
  110. Leistedt B, Mortlock DJ, Peiris HV. 2016. MNRAS 460:44258–67
  111. Licquia TC, Newman JA. 2015. Astrophys. J. 806:196
  112. Lilly SJ, Le Fèvre O, Renzini A et al. 2007. Astrophys. J. Suppl. 172:170–85
  113. Linder EV, Mitra A 2019. Phys. Rev. D 100:043542
  114. Loh ED, Spillar EJ. 1986. Astrophys. J. 303:154–61
  115. LSST Dark Energy Sci. Collab 2018. arXiv:1809.01669 [astro-ph]
  116. LSST Sci. Collab 2009. arXiv:0912.0201 [astro-ph]
  117. Ma Z, Bernstein G. 2008. Astrophys. J. 682:139–48
  118. MacCrann N, Becker MR, McCullough J et al. 2020. arXiv:2012.08567 [astro-ph]
  119. Malz AI. 2020. Probabilistic analysis methods for cosmology using uncertainty-dominated photometric data. PhD Thesis NYU New York:
  120. Malz AI. 2021. Phys. Rev. D 103:083502
  121. Malz AI, Marshall PJ, DeRose J et al. 2018. Astron. J. 156:135
  122. Mandelbaum R. 2018. Annu. Rev. Astron. Astrophys. 56:393–433
  123. Mao YY, Geha M, Wechsler RH et al. 2021. Astrophys. J. 907:285
  124. Martí P, Miquel R, Castander FJ et al. 2014. MNRAS 442:192–109
  125. Masters DC, Capak P, Stern D et al. 2015. Astrophys. J. 813:153
  126. Masters DC, Stern DK, Cohen JG et al. 2019. Astrophys. J. 877:281
  127. Matthews DJ. 2014. Exploring the distant universe with cross-correlation statistics. PhD Thesis Univ. Pittsburgh Pittsburgh, PA:
     [Google Scholar]
  128. Matthews DJ, Newman JA. 2010. Astrophys. J. 721:1456–68
  129. McLure RJ, Pentericci L, Cimatti A et al. 2018. MNRAS 479:125–42
  130. McQuinn M, White M. 2013. MNRAS 433:42857–83
  131. Melchior P, Joseph R, Sanchez J, MacCrann N, Gruen D. 2021. Nat. Rev. Phys. 3:712–18
  132. Meshcheryakov AV, Glazkova VV, Gerasimov SV, Mashechkin IV. 2018. Astron. Lett. 44:12735–53
  133. Moessner R, Jain B. 1998. MNRAS 294:1L18–24
  134. Molino A, Benítez N, Moles M et al. 2014. MNRAS 441:42891–922
  135. Momcheva IG, Brammer GB, van Dokkum PG et al. 2016. Astrophys. J. Suppl. 225:227
  136. MSE Sci. Team 2019. arXiv:1904.04907 [astro-ph]
  137. Myles J, Alarcon A, Amon A et al. 2021. MNRAS 505:34249–77
  138. Newman JA. 2008. Astrophys. J. 684:188–101
  139. Newman JA, Abate A, Abdalla FB et al. 2015. Astropart. Phys. 63:81–100
  140. Newman JA, Blazek J, Chisari NE et al. 2019. Bull. Am. Astron. Assoc. 51:3358
  141. Newman JA, Cooper MC, Davis M et al. 2013. Astrophys. J. Suppl. 208:15
  142. Newman JA, Zepf SE, Davis M et al. 1999. Astrophys. J. 523:2506–20
  143. Padmanabhan N, Schlegel DJ, Seljak U et al. 2007. MNRAS 378:3852–72
  144. Pandey S, Krause E, DeRose J et al. 2021. arXiv:2105.13545 [astro-ph]
  145. Pasquet J, Bertin E, Treyer M, Arnouts S, Fouchez D. 2019. Astron. Astrophys. 621:A26
  146. Press WH. 1997. Unsolved Problems in Astrophysics JN Bahcall, JP Ostriker 49–60 Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
  147. Quadri RF, Williams RJ. 2010. Astrophys. J. 725:1794–802
  148. Rahman M, Ménard B, Scranton R, Schmidt SJ, Morrison CB. 2015. MNRAS 447:43500–11
  149. Ruiz-Macias O, Zarrouk P, Cole S et al. 2020. Res. Notes Am. Astron. Assoc. 4:10187
  150. Sadeh I, Abdalla FB, Lahav O. 2016. Publ. Astron. Soc. Pac. 128:968104502
  151. Salvato M, Ilbert O, Hoyle B. 2019. Nat. Astron. 3:212–22
  152. Sánchez C, Bernstein GM. 2019. MNRAS 483:22801–13
  153. Sánchez C, Carrasco Kind M, Lin H et al. 2014. MNRAS 445:21482–506
  154. Sánchez C, Mendoza I, Kirkby DP et al. 2021. J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 07:043
  155. Sánchez E, Carnero A, García-Bellido J et al. 2011. MNRAS 411:1277–88
  156. Santini P, Ferguson HC, Fontana A et al. 2015. Astrophys. J. 801:297
  157. Schaan E, Ferraro S, Seljak U. 2020. J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 12:001
  158. Schlegel D, Kollmeier JA, Ferraro S. 2019. Bull. Am. Astron. Soc. 51:7229
  159. Schmidt SJ, Malz AI, Soo JYH et al. 2020. MNRAS 499:21587–606
  160. Schmidt SJ, Ménard B, Scranton R, Morrison C, McBride CK. 2013. MNRAS 431:43307–18
  161. Seo HJ, Ho S, White M et al. 2012. Astrophys. J. 761:113
  162. Sheldon ES, Becker MR, MacCrann N, Jarvis M. 2020. Astrophys. J. 902:2138
  163. Sheth RK. 2007. MNRAS 378:2709–15
  164. Spergel D, Gehrels N, Baltay C et al. 2015. arXiv:1503.03757 [astro-ph]
  165. Stabenau HF, Connolly A, Jain B 2008. MNRAS 387:31215–26
  166. Stanford SA, Masters D, Darvish B et al. 2021. arXiv:2106.11367 [astro-ph]
  167. Stölzner B, Joachimi B, Korn A, Hildebrandt H, Wright AH. 2020. arXiv:2012.07707 [astro-ph]
  168. Takada M, Ellis RS, Chiba M et al. 2014. Publ. Astron. Soc. Jpn. 66:1R1
  169. Tamura N, Takato N, Shimono A et al. 2016. Proc. SPIE 9908:99088U
  170. Tanaka M, Coupon J, Hsieh BC et al. 2018. Publ. Astron. Soc. Jpn. 70:S9
  171. Tolman RC. 1930. PNAS 16:7511–20
  172. Tortorelli L, Siudek M, Moser B et al. 2021. arXiv:2106.02651 [astro-ph]
  173. Treu T. 2010. Annu. Rev. Astron. Astrophys. 48:87–125
  174. van den Busch JL, Hildebrandt H, Wright AH et al. 2020. Astron. Astrophys. 642:A200
  175. van den Busch JL, Wright AH, Hildebrandt H et al. 2022. Astron. Astrophys In pressarXiv:2204.02396 [astro-ph]
  176. Vilalta R, Ishida EEO, Beck R et al. 2017. 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence1–8 Piscataway, NJ: IEEE
  177. Wolf C, Meisenheimer K, Rix HW et al. 2003. Astron. Astrophys. 401:73–98
  178. Wright AH, Hildebrandt H, van den Busch JL et al. 2020. Astron. Astrophys. 640:L14
  179. zCOSMOS Collab 2016. ESO phase 3 data release description for zCOSMOS Data Release, ESO Garching, Ger: https://www.eso.org/sci/observing/phase3/data_releases/zcosmos_dr3_b2.pdf
  180. Zhang P, Pen UL, Bernstein G. 2010. MNRAS 405:1359–74
  181. Zhao D, Dalmasso N, Izbicki R, Lee AB. 2021. arXiv:2102.10473 [stat]
  182. Zhou R, Cooper MC, Newman JA et al. 2019. MNRAS 488:44565–84
  183. Zhou R, Newman JA, Mao YY et al. 2021. MNRAS 501:33309–31
/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-astro-032122-014611
Loading
Photometric Redshifts for Next-Generation Surveys
Annual Review of Astronomy and Astrophysics 60, 363 (2022); https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-astro-032122-014611
/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-astro-032122-014611
/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-astro-032122-014611
Loading

Data & Media loading...

  • Article Type: Review Article

Most Cited Most Cited RSS feed

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error