1932

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has upended health and living standards around the world. This article provides an interim overview of these effects, with a particular focus on low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Economists have explained how the pandemic is likely to have different consequences for LMICs and demands distinct policy responses compared to those of rich countries. We survey the rapidly expanding body of empirical research that documents the pandemic's many adverse economic and noneconomic effects in terms of living standards, education, health, and gender equality, which appear to be unprecedented in scope and scale. We also review research on successful and failed policy responses, including the failure to ensure widespread vaccine coverage in many LMICs, which is needed to end the pandemic. We close with a discussion of implications for public policy in LMICs and for the institutions of international governance, given the likelihood of future pandemics and other major shocks (e.g., climate).

Loading

Article metrics loading...

/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-economics-051520-025412
2022-08-12
2024-04-27
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

/deliver/fulltext/economics/14/1/annurev-economics-051520-025412.html?itemId=/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-economics-051520-025412&mimeType=html&fmt=ahah

Literature Cited

  1. Abaluck J, Chevalier JA, Christakis NA, Forman HP, Kaplan EH et al. 2020. The case for universal cloth mask adoption and policies to increase supply of medical masks for health workers Work. Pap., Yale Sch. Manag., Yale Univ. New Haven, CT:
  2. Abaluck J, Kwong L, Styczynski A, Haque A, Alamgir Kabir MD et al. 2021. Normalizing community mask-wearing: a cluster randomized trial in Bangladesh NBER Work. Pap. 28734
  3. Abaluck J, Mobarak AM. 2020. Getting all Bangladeshis to wear masks. WhiteBoard Dec. 1. https://whiteboardmagazine.com/1958/getting-all-bangladeshis-to-wear-masks/
    [Google Scholar]
  4. Abi-Habib M, Yasir S 2020. India's Coronavirus lockdown leaves vast numbers stranded and hungry. New York Times March 29. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/29/world/asia/coronavirus-india-migrants.html
    [Google Scholar]
  5. Abutaleb Y, Parker A, Dawsey J, Rucker P. 2020. The inside story of how Trump's denial, mismanagement and magical thinking led to the pandemic's dark winter. Washington Post Dec. 19. https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/politics/trump-covid-pandemic-dark-winter/
    [Google Scholar]
  6. Abuya T, Austrian K, Isaac A, Kangwana B, Mbushi F et al. 2020. Experiences among adults and adolescents during the COVID-19 pandemic from four locations across Kenya: study brief round 3 Res. Brief, Popul. Counc. Nairobi, Kenya:
  7. Acemoglu D, Chernozhukov V, Werning I, Whinston MD. 2021. Optimal targeted lockdowns in a multi-group SIR model. Am. Econ. Rev. Insights 3:4487–502
    [Google Scholar]
  8. Africa Cent. Dis. Control 2021. COVID-19 19 Vaccine Perceptions: A 15 Country Study Addis Ababa, Ethiop: Africa Cent. Dis. Control
  9. Agüero JM. 2021. COVID-19 and the rise of intimate partner violence. World Dev. 137:105217
    [Google Scholar]
  10. Ahsan R, Iqbal K, Khan M, Mobarak AM, Shonchoy A. 2020. Using migration patterns to predict COVID-19 risk exposure in developing countries Work. Pap., Yale Sch. Manag., Yale Univ. New Haven, CT:
  11. Ahuja A, Athey S, Baker A, Budish E, Castillo JC et al. 2021. Preparing for a pandemic: accelerating vaccine availability. AEA Pap. Proc. 111:331–35
    [Google Scholar]
  12. Ahuja A, Devolla M. 2021. It's time to reopen primary schools. IDR July 20. https://idronline.org/article/education/its-time-to-reopen-primary-schools/
    [Google Scholar]
  13. Aiken E, Bellue S, Karlan D, Udry CR, Blumenstock J. 2021. Machine learning and mobile phone data can improve the targeting of humanitarian assistance NBER Work. Pap. 29070
  14. Ajzenman N, Cavalcanti T, Da Mata D 2021.. More than words: leaders’ speech and risky behavior during a pandemic. IZA Discuss. Pap. 14229, Inst. Labor Econ. Bonn, Ger:.
  15. Akmal M, Crawfurd L, Hares S, Minardi AL. 2020. COVID-19 in Pakistan: a phone survey to assess education, economic, and health-related outcomes Policy Pap., Cent. Global Dev. Washington, DC:
  16. Alatas V, Chandrasekhar AG, Mobius M, Olken BA, Paladines C. 2019. When celebrities speak: a nationwide Twitter experiment promoting vaccination in Indonesia NBER Work. Pap. 25589
  17. Alfaro L, Becerra O, Eslava M. 2020. EMEs and COVID-19: shutting down in a world of informal and tiny firms NBER Work. Pap. 27360
  18. Allen J IV, Mahumane A, Riddell IVJ, Rosenblat T, Yang D, Yu H 2021. Correcting perceived social distancing norms to combat COVID-19 NBER Work. Pap. 28651
  19. Alon T, Kim M, Lagakos D, VanVuren M. 2020. How should policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic differ in the developing world? NBER Work. Pap. 27273
  20. Amin S, Rob U, Billah M, Ainul S, Irfan Hossain MD et al. 2020. COVID-19-related knowledge, attitudes, and practices among adolescent girls in Bangladesh Data Set, Popul. Counc. Nairobi, Kenya:
  21. Anand A, Sandefur J, Subramanian A. 2021. Three new estimates of India's all-cause excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic CDG Work. Pap. 589, Cent. Global Dev. Washington, DC:
  22. Anderson JL. 2021. Brazil's COVID-19 crisis and Jair Bolsonaro's presidential chaos. New Yorker April 13. https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/brazils-covid-19-crisis-and-jair-bolsonaros-presidential-chaos
    [Google Scholar]
  23. Archibong B, Annan F. 2019. “An ill wind that blows no girl any good”: the impacts of climate-induced disease on gender inequality Work. Pap., Barnard Coll., Columbia Univ. New York:
  24. Azevedo JP, Hasan A, Goldemberg D, Iqbal SA, Geven K. 2021. Simulating the potential impacts of COVID-19 school closures on schooling and learning outcomes: a set of global estimates. World Bank Res. Obs. 36:11–40
    [Google Scholar]
  25. Bahety G, Bauhoff S, Patel D, Potter J 2021.. Texts don't nudge: an adaptive trial to prevent the spread of COVID-19 in India Work. Pap., Cent. Global Dev. Washington, DC:
  26. Baird S, Hicks JH, Kremer M, Miguel E 2016. Worms at work: long-run impacts of a child health investment. Q. J. Econ. 131:41637–80
    [Google Scholar]
  27. Baird S, Jones N, Goel N, Dutton R, Oakley E et al. 2021. Adolescent well-being in the time of COVID-19 Tech. Doc., Partnersh. Matern. Newborn Child Health, World Health Organ. Geneva, Switz:.
  28. Banati P, Jones N, Youssef S. 2020. Intersecting vulnerabilities: the impacts of COVID-19 on the psycho-emotional lives of young people in low- and middle-income countries. Eur. J. Dev. Res. 32:1613–38
    [Google Scholar]
  29. Bandyopadhyay S, Baticulon RE, Kadhum M, Alser M, Ojuka DK et al. 2020. Infection and mortality of healthcare workers worldwide from COVID-19: a systematic review. BMJ Global Health 5:12e003097
    [Google Scholar]
  30. Banerjee A, Alsan M, Breza E, Chandrasekhar AG, Chowdhury A et al. 2020a. Messages on COVID-19 prevention in India increased symptoms reporting and adherence to preventive behaviors among 25 million recipients with similar effects on non-recipient members of their communities NBER Work. Pap. 27496
  31. Banerjee A, Chandrasekhar AG, Dalpath S, Duflo E, Floretta J et al. 2021. Selecting the most effective nudge: evidence from a large-scale experiment on immunization NBER Work. Pap. 28726
  32. Banerjee A, Faye M, Krueger A, Niehaus P, Suri T 2020b. Effects of a universal basic income during the pandemic Work. Pap., Mass. Inst. Technol. Cambridge:
  33. Barker N, Davis CA, López-Peña P, Mitchell H, Mobarak AM et al. 2020. Migration and the labour market impacts of COVID-19 UNU-WIDER Work. Pap. 138, United Nations Univ. World Inst. Dev. Econ. Res. Helsinki, Finl:.
  34. Barnett-Howell Z, Watson OJ, Mobarak AM. 2021. The benefits and costs of social distancing in high- and low-income countries. Trans. R. Soc. Trop. Med. Hyg. 115:7807–19
    [Google Scholar]
  35. Barrett P, Chen S, Li N 2021. COVID-19's long shadow: social repercussions of pandemics. IMFBlog Febr. 3. https://blogs.imf.org/2021/02/03/covids-long-shadow-social-repercussions-of-pandemics/
    [Google Scholar]
  36. Barro RJ. 2013. Education and economic growth. Ann. Econ. Finance 14:2301–28
    [Google Scholar]
  37. Bau N, Khanna G, Low C, Shah M, Sharmin S, Voena A. 2022. Women's well-being during a pandemic and its containment. J. Dev. Econ. 156:10289
    [Google Scholar]
  38. Bazzi S, Fiszbein M, Gebresilasse M. 2021.. “ Rugged individualism” and collective (in)action during the COVID-19 pandemic. J. Public Econ. 195:104357
    [Google Scholar]
  39. BBC 2021. Coronavirus: Kenya reopens schools after nine months. BBC News Jan. 4. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-55532789
    [Google Scholar]
  40. Berkouwer SB, Biscaye PE, Hsu E, Kim OW, Lee K et al. 2021. Money or power? Financial infrastructure and optimal policy NBER Work. Pap. 29086
  41. Beschel RP Jr., Yousef TM. 2020. The Middle East and North Africa and COVID-19: gearing up for the long haul. Brookings Dec. 13. https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/the-middle-east-and-north-africa-and-COVID-19-gearing-up-for-the-long-haul/
    [Google Scholar]
  42. Beyer RCM, Jain T, Sinha S. 2020. Lights out? COVID-19 containment policies and economic activity Policy Res. Work. Pap. 9485, World Bank Washington, DC:
  43. Bishi H, Grossman S, Startz M. 2020. How COVID-19 has affected Lagos traders: findings from high-frequency phone surveys C-19 Note, Cent. Econ. Policy Res. London:
  44. Blanc J, Brown FZ. 2020. Conflict zones in the time of coronavirus: war and war by other means. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Dec. 17. https://carnegieendowment.org/2020/12/17/conflict-zones-in-time-of-coronavirus-war-and-war-by-other-means-pub-83462
    [Google Scholar]
  45. Blumenstock J. 2020. Machine learning can help get COVID-19 aid to those who need it most. Nature May 14. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01393-7
    [Google Scholar]
  46. Boateng GO, Doku DT, Ebu Enyan NI, Owusu SA, Aboh IK et al. 2021. Prevalence and changes in boredom, anxiety and well-being among Ghanaians during the COVID-19 pandemic: a population-based study. BMC Public Health 21:1985
    [Google Scholar]
  47. Borkowski A, Correa JSO, Bundy D, Burbano C, Hayashi C et al. 2021. COVID-19: missing more than a classroom. The impact of school closures on children's nutrition Innocenti Work. Pap., UNICEF Off. Res. Innocenti Florence, Italy:
  48. Boseley S. 2020. New data, new policy: why UK's coronavirus strategy changed. The Guardian March 16. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/16/new-data-new-policy-why-uks-coronavirus-strategy-has-changed
    [Google Scholar]
  49. Brooks SK, Webster RK, Smith LE, Woodland L, Wessely S et al. 2020. The psychological impact of quarantine and how to reduce it: rapid review of the evidence. Lancet 395:10227912–20
    [Google Scholar]
  50. Buckee CO, Balsari S, Chan J, Crosas M, Dominici F et al. 2020. Aggregated mobility data could help fight COVID-19. Science 368:6487145–46
    [Google Scholar]
  51. Bundervoet T, Dávalos ME, Garcia N. 2022. The short-term impacts of COVID-19 on households in developing countries: an overview based on a harmonized dataset of high-frequency surveys. . World Dev. 153:105844
    [Google Scholar]
  52. Burlig F, Sudarshan A, Schlauch G. 2021. The impact of domestic travel bans on COVID-19 is nonlinear in their duration NBER Work. Pap. 28699
  53. Causey K, Fullman N, Sorensen RJD, Galles NC, Zheng P et al. 2021. Estimating global and regional disruptions to routine childhood vaccine coverage during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020: a modelling study. Lancet 398:10299522–34
    [Google Scholar]
  54. Ceballos F, Kannan S, Kramer B. 2020. Impacts of a national lockdown on smallholder farmers’ income and food security: empirical evidence from two states in India. World Dev. 136:105069
    [Google Scholar]
  55. Ceballos F, Kannan S, Kramer B. 2021. Crop prices, farm incomes, and food security during the COVID-19 pandemic in India: phone-based producer survey evidence from Haryana State. Agric. Econ. 52:3525–42
    [Google Scholar]
  56. Cefalà L, Gechter M, Tsivanidis N, Young N 2020. Economic impacts of COVID-19 lockdowns: an examination of recoveries in Jordan. Policy Brief JOR-20081, Int. Growth Cent., Lond. Sch. Econ. Political Sci. London:
  57. Cent. Gend. Equity Health 2021. COVID-19 and gender research in LMICs: October–December 2020 quarterly review report Rep., Cent. Gend. Equity Health, Univ. Calif. San Diego:
  58. Cheeseman N, Smith J. 2020. The pandemic is being used to erode democratic freedoms. Civil society must fight back. Mail & Guardian Apr. 17. https://mg.co.za/article/2020-04-17-the-pandemic-is-being-used-to-erode-democratic-freedoms-civil-society-must-fight-back/
    [Google Scholar]
  59. Chernow R. 2004. Alexander Hamilton New York: Penguin
  60. Chernozhukov V, Kasahara H, Schrimpf P. 2021. Causal impact of masks policies, behavior on early COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S.. J. Econom. 220:123–62
    [Google Scholar]
  61. Chetty R, Friedman J, Hendren N, Stepner M, Oppor. Insights Team. 2020. The economic impacts of COVID-19: evidence from a new public database built using private sector data NBER Work. Pap. 27431
  62. Chmielewska B, Barratt I, Townsend R, Kalafat E, van der Meulen J et al. 2021. Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on maternal and perinatal outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Global Health 9:6e759–72
    [Google Scholar]
  63. Corno L, Hildebrandt N, Voena A. 2020. Age of marriage, weather shocks, and the direction of marriage payments. Econometrica 88:3879–915
    [Google Scholar]
  64. Corno L, Voena A. 2016. Selling daughters: age of marriage, income shocks and the bride price tradition IFS Work. Pap. W16/08, Inst. Fiscal Stud. London:
  65. Crawfurd L, Hares S, Minardi AL. 2021. New data on learning loss in Pakistan. Cent. Global Dev. May 11. https://www.cgdev.org/blog/new-data-learning-loss-pakistan
    [Google Scholar]
  66. Cucagna E, Romero J. 2021. The gendered impacts of COVID-19 on labor markets in Latin America and the Caribbean Policy Brief, World Bank Washington, DC:
  67. Dahir AL. 2020a. Coronavirus is battering Africa's growing middle class. New York Times June 29. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/29/world/africa/Africa-middle-class-coronavirus.html
    [Google Scholar]
  68. Dahir AL. 2020b. Kenya's unusual solution to the school problem: cancel the year and start over. New York Times Aug. 5. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/05/world/africa/Kenya-cancels-school-year-coronavirus.html
    [Google Scholar]
  69. Dahir AL. 2021. John Magufuli, Tanzania leader who played down COVID-19, dies at 61. New York Times March 17. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/17/world/africa/tanzania-president-magufuli-dead.html
    [Google Scholar]
  70. Deaton A. 2003a. How to monitor poverty for the millennium development goals. J. Hum. Dev. 4:3353–78
    [Google Scholar]
  71. Deaton A. 2003b. Measuring poverty in a growing world (or measuring growth in a poor world) NBER Work. Pap. 9822
  72. Deshpande A. 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic and gendered division of paid and unpaid work: evidence from India IZA Discuss. Pap. 13815 Inst. Labor Econ. Bonn, Ger:.
  73. Dessy S, Gninafon H, Tiberti L, Tiberti M. 2021. COVID-19 and children's school resilience: evidence from Nigeria Policy Res. Work. Pap. 9736 World Bank Washington, DC:
  74. Dong E, Du H, Gardner L. 2020. An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time. Lancet Infect. Dis. 20:5533–34
    [Google Scholar]
  75. Economist 2020. COVID-19 is now in 50 countries, and things will get worse. Economist Febr. 29. https://www.economist.com/briefing/2020/02/29/covid-19-is-now-in-50-countries-and-things-will-get-worse
    [Google Scholar]
  76. Egger D, Miguel E, Warren SS, Shenoy A, Collins E et al. 2021. Falling living standards during the COVID-19 crisis: quantitative evidence from nine developing countries. Sci. Adv. 7:6eabe0997
    [Google Scholar]
  77. Evans D, Hares S, Acosta AM, Saintis C. 2021. It's been a year since schools started to close due to COVID-19. Center for Global Development Febr. 10. https://www.cgdev.org/blog/its-been-year-schools-started-close-due-COVID-19
    [Google Scholar]
  78. Fang H, Wang L, Yang Y 2020. Human mobility restrictions and the spread of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-NCoV) in China. J. Public Econ. 191:104272
    [Google Scholar]
  79. Favara M, Freund R, Porter C, Sanchez A, Scott D 2021. Young lives, interrupted: short-term effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescents in low- and middle-income countries. COVID-19 Econ. 67:172–98
    [Google Scholar]
  80. Ferguson N, Laydon D, Gilani GN, Imai N, Ainslie K et al. 2020. Report 9: impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand Rep., Imp. Coll. COVID-19 Response Team, Imp. Coll. Lond. London:
  81. Fink S. 2020. White House takes new line after dire report on death toll. New York Times March 16. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/16/us/coronavirus-fatality-rate-white-house.html
    [Google Scholar]
  82. Fisher M, Sang-Hun C. 2020. How South Korea flattened the curve. New York Times March 23. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/23/world/asia/coronavirus-south-korea-flatten-curve.html
    [Google Scholar]
  83. Fitzpatrick A, Beg S, Derksen L, Karing A, Kerwin J et al. 2021. Health knowledge and non-pharmaceutical interventions during the Covid-19 pandemic in Africa. J. Econ. Behav. Organ. 190:33–53
    [Google Scholar]
  84. Furbush A, Josephson A, Kilic T, Michler JD. 2021. The evolving socioeconomic impacts of COVID-19 in four African countries Policy Res. Work. Pap. 9556, World Bank Washington, DC:
  85. Gavi 2020. The Gavi Covax AMC: an investment opportunity Rep., Gavi Vaccine Alliance Geneva, Switz: https://www.gavi.org/sites/default/files/2020-06/Gavi-COVAX-AMC-IO.pdf
  86. Gentilini U, Almenfi M, Orton I, Dale P 2020. Social protection and jobs responses to COVID-19: a real-time review of country measures Brief, World Bank Washington, DC:
  87. Gholami M, Fawad I, Shadan S, Rowaiee R, Ghanem HA et al. 2021. COVID-19 and healthcare workers: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int. J. Infect. Dis. 104:335–46
    [Google Scholar]
  88. Greenstone M, Nigam V. 2020. Does social distancing matter? Work. Pap. 2020–26 Becker Friedman Inst. Econ., Univ. Chicago Chicago:
  89. Guerrieri V, Lorenzoni G, Straub L, Werning I. 2020. Macroeconomic implications of COVID-19: Can negative supply shocks cause demand shortages? NBER Work. Pap. 26918
  90. Hagemann J. 2021. Bringing back school-based deworming to Kenya during COVID-19. Evidence Action April 7. https://www.evidenceaction.org/bringing-back-school-based-deworming-to-kenya-during-COVID-19/
    [Google Scholar]
  91. Hale T, Angrist N, Goldszmidt R, Kira B, Petherick A et al. 2021. A global panel database of pandemic policies (Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker). Nat. Hum. Behav. 5:4529–38
    [Google Scholar]
  92. Hamadani JD, Hasan MI, Baldi AJ, Hossain SJ, Shiraji S et al. 2020. Immediate impact of stay-at-home orders to control COVID-19 transmission on socioeconomic conditions, food insecurity, mental health, and intimate partner violence in Bangladeshi women and their families: an interrupted time series. Lancet Global Health 8:11e1380–89
    [Google Scholar]
  93. Hassan F, Yamey G, Abbasi K. 2021. Profiteering from vaccine inequity: a crime against humanity?. BMJ 374:n2027
    [Google Scholar]
  94. Hoehn-Velasco L, Silverio-Murillo A, de la Miyar JRB. 2021. The great crime recovery: crimes against women during, and after, the COVID-19 lockdown in Mexico. Econ. Hum. Biol 41:100991
    [Google Scholar]
  95. Howard J, Huang A, Li Z, Tufekci Z, Zdimal V et al. 2021. An evidence review of face masks against COVID-19. PNAS 118:4e2014564118
    [Google Scholar]
  96. Hsiang S, Allen D, Annan-Phan S, Bell K, Bolliger I et al. 2020. The effect of large-scale anti-contagion policies on the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature 584:7820262–67
    [Google Scholar]
  97. Hum. Rights Watch 2021.. “ We are all vulnerable here”: Kenya's pandemic cash transfer program riddled with irregularities. Human Rights Watch July 20. https://www.hrw.org/report/2021/07/20/we-are-all-vulnerable-here/kenyas-pandemic-cash-transfer-program-riddled
    [Google Scholar]
  98. Ilin C, Annan-Phan S, Tai XH, Mehra S, Hsiang S, Blumenstock JE. 2021. Public mobility data enables COVID-19 forecasting and management at local and global scales. Sci. Rep. 11:113531
    [Google Scholar]
  99. Innov. Poverty Action 2021. NORMalize mask-wearing scale-up Work. Pap., Innov. Poverty Action New York: https://www.poverty-action.org/masks
  100. Int. Labour Organ 2018. Women and Men in the Informal Economy: A Statistical Picture Geneva, Switz: Int. Labour Organ. , 3rd ed..
  101. Int. Labour Organ 2020. ILO warns of COVID-19 migrant “crisis within a crisis. .” International Labour Organization June 24. https://www.ilo.org/global/about-the-ilo/newsroom/news/WCMS_748992/lang–en/index.htm
    [Google Scholar]
  102. Int. Monet. Fund 2020a. A crisis like no other, an uncertain recovery Rep., Int. Monet. Fund Washington, DC:
  103. Int. Monet. Fund 2020b. World economic outlook, April 2020: the Great Lockdown Rep., Int. Monet. Fund Washington, DC:
  104. Jain R, Dupas P. 2021. The effects of India's COVID-19 lockdown on critical non-COVID-19 health care and outcomes: evidence from a retrospective cohort analysis of dialysis patients Work. Pap., Stanford Univ. Stanford, CA:
  105. Jakubowski A, Egger D, Nekesa C, Lowe L, Walker M, Miguel E 2021. Self-reported versus directly observed face mask use in Kenya. JAMA Netw. Open 4:7e2118830
    [Google Scholar]
  106. Jamison JC. 2020. Lockdowns will starve people in low-income countries. Washington Post April 20. https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/04/20/lockdown-developing-world-coronavirus-poverty/
    [Google Scholar]
  107. Jamison JC, Bundy D, Jamison DT, Spitz J, Verguet S. 2021. Comparing the impact on COVID-19 mortality of self-imposed behavior change and of government regulations: an observational analysis of 13 countries. Health Serv. Res. 56:5874–84
    [Google Scholar]
  108. Jones K, Gong E. 2021. Precautionary savings and shock-coping behaviors: effects of promoting mobile bank savings on transactional sex in Kenya. J. Health Econ. 78:102460
    [Google Scholar]
  109. Karlinsky A, Kobak D. 2021. Tracking excess mortality across countries during the COVID-19 pandemic with the world mortality dataset. ELife June 30. https://elifesciences.org/articles/69336
    [Google Scholar]
  110. Khamis M, Prinz D, Newhouse D, Palacios-Lopez A, Pape UJ, Weber M 2021. Jobs Watch COVID-19: the evolving labor market impacts of COVID-19 in developing countries Brief, World Bank Washington, DC: https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/736581626933374446/jobs-watch-COVID-19-the-evolving-labor-market-impacts-of-COVID-19-in-developing-countries
  111. Kim J, Rose P, Tiruneh DT, Sabates R, Woldehanna T. 2021. Learning inequalities widen following COVID-19 school closures in Ethiopia. RISE Programme May 4. https://riseprogramme.org/blog/learning-inequalities-widen-COVID-19-Ethiopia
    [Google Scholar]
  112. Kim YE, Loayza NV. 2021. Economic loss from COVID-19 fatalities across countries: a VSL approach. Appl. Econ. Lett. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2021.1883521
    [Crossref] [Google Scholar]
  113. Kishi Dr R 2021. A year of COVID-19: the pandemic's impact on global conflict and demonstration trends Anal., Armed Confl. Locat. Event Data Washington, DC:
  114. Kola L. 2020. Global mental health and COVID-19. Lancet Psychiatry 7:8655–57
    [Google Scholar]
  115. Kraemer MUG, Yang C-H, Gutierrez B, Wu C-H, Klein B et al. 2020. The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China. Science 368:6490493–97
    [Google Scholar]
  116. Krubiner C, Keller JM, Kaufman J. 2020. Balancing the COVID-19 response with wider health needs: key decision-making considerations for low- and middle-income countries. Center for Global Development May 8. https://www.cgdev.org/publication/balancing-COVID-19-response-wider-health-needs-key-decision-making-considerations-low
    [Google Scholar]
  117. Kumar M, Kumar P. 2020. Impact of pandemic on mental health in lower- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Global Mental Health 7:e35
    [Google Scholar]
  118. Lancet Infect. Dis. 2021. COVID-19 vaccine equity and booster doses. Lancet Infect. Dis. 21:9P1193
    [Google Scholar]
  119. Le Nestour A, Moscovitz L 2020. Five findings from a new phone survey in Senegal. Center for Global Development April 24. https://www.cgdev.org/blog/five-findings-new-phone-survey-senegal
    [Google Scholar]
  120. Lee JN, Mahmud M, Morduch J, Ravindran S, Shonchoy AS. 2021. Migration externalities, and the diffusion of COVID-19 in South Asia. J. Public Econ. 193:104312
    [Google Scholar]
  121. Leffler CT, Ing E, Lykins JD, Hogan MC, McKeown CA, Grzybowski A. 2020. Association of country-wide coronavirus mortality with demographics, testing, lockdowns, and public wearing of masks. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 103:62400–11
    [Google Scholar]
  122. Levine M, Meriggi N, Mobarak AM, Ramakrishna V, Voors M. 2021. How is COVID-19 affecting gender inequality in low-income countries? Insights from Sierra Leone. IGC March 8. https://www.theigc.org/blog/how-is-COVID-19-affecting-gender-inequality-in-low-income-countries-insights-from-sierra-leone/
    [Google Scholar]
  123. Lopez BF, Behrman JR, Vazquez C. 2020. Economic costs of preprimary program reductions due to COVID-19 pandemic Tech. Note IDB-TN-2000, Inter-Am. Dev. Bank Washington, DC:
  124. Lubell M. 2020. Israel to use anti-terror tech to counter coronavirus “invisible enemy. .” Reuters March 14. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-israel-idUSKBN21113V
    [Google Scholar]
  125. Lyu W, Wehby GL. 2020. Community use of face masks and COVID-19: evidence from a natural experiment of state mandates in the US. Health Aff. 39:81419–25
    [Google Scholar]
  126. Ma L, Shapira G, De Walque D, Do Q-T, Friedman J, Levchenko AA. 2021. The intergenerational mortality tradeoff of COVID-19 lockdown policies NBER Work. Pap. 28925
  127. Mahler DG, Yonzan N, Lakner C, Aguilar RAC, Wu H. 2021. Updated estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on global poverty: turning the corner on the pandemic in 2021?. World Bank Blogs June 24. https://blogs.worldbank.org/opendata/updated-estimates-impact-COVID-19-global-poverty-turning-corner-pandemic-2021
    [Google Scholar]
  128. Mahmud M, Riley E 2021. Household response to an extreme shock: evidence on the immediate impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on economic outcomes and well-being in rural Uganda. World Dev. 140:105318
    [Google Scholar]
  129. Malik K, Meki M, Morduch J, Ogden T, Quinn S, Said F 2020. COVID-19 and the future of microfinance: evidence and insights from Pakistan. Oxf. Rev. Econ. Policy 36:Suppl. 1S138–68
    [Google Scholar]
  130. McQuaid CF, McCreesh N, Read JM, Sumner T, Houben RMGJ et al. 2020. The potential impact of COVID-19-related disruption on tuberculosis burden. Eur. Respir. J. 56:22001718
    [Google Scholar]
  131. McSweeney E, Chingono N. 2021. Western countries have “hoarded” COVID-19 vaccines. Africa is being left behind as cases surge. CNN Febr. 5. https://www.cnn.com/2021/02/05/africa/vaccine-race-africa-intl/index.html
    [Google Scholar]
  132. Medina L, Schneider F. 2020. Shedding light on the shadow economy. World Econ. 21:225–82
    [Google Scholar]
  133. Meriggi N, Mobarak AM. 2020. This country fought Ebola. It may beat another disease. New York Times June 16. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/16/opinion/poor-countries-coronavirus.html
    [Google Scholar]
  134. Meyer CJ, Hardy M, Witte M, Kagy G, Demeke E. 2021. The market-reach of pandemics: evidence from female workers in Ethiopia's ready-made garment industry. World Dev. 137:105179
    [Google Scholar]
  135. Mobarak AM. 2021. Saving lives saves livelihoods. Foreign Policy March 9. https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/03/09/coronavirus-pandemic-lockdown-regulations-caribbean/
    [Google Scholar]
  136. Mobarak AM, Mahbub R. 2020. Opinion: what the US can learn from how African countries handled COVID-19. CNN Nov. 3. https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/03/africa/africa-coronavirus-lessons-opinion-intl/index.html
    [Google Scholar]
  137. Moon S, Ruiz AA, Vieira M. 2021. Averting future vaccine injustice. N. Engl. J. Med. 385:3193–96
    [Google Scholar]
  138. Mueller B, Robbins R. 2021. Where a vast global vaccination program went wrong. New York Times Aug. 2. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/02/world/europe/covax-covid-vaccine-problems-africa.html
    [Google Scholar]
  139. Mueller B, Taj M. 2020. In New Jersey, Tanzania, Peru, TV lessons replace online learning. New York Times Aug. 17. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/17/world/coronavirus-television-schools.html
    [Google Scholar]
  140. Mukherjee S. 2021. Why does the pandemic seem to be hitting some countries harder than others?. New Yorker Febr. 22. https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2021/03/01/why-does-the-pandemic-seem-to-be-hitting-some-countries-harder-than-others
    [Google Scholar]
  141. Nachega JB, Sam-Agudu NA, Mellors JW, Zumla A, Mofenson LM. 2021. Scaling up COVID-19 vaccination in Africa—lessons from the HIV pandemic. N. Engl. J. Med. 385:3196–98
    [Google Scholar]
  142. Nature 2020. How to stop COVID-19 fuelling a resurgence of AIDS, malaria and tuberculosis. Nature 584:7820169
    [Google Scholar]
  143. Nkengasong J. 2020. Let Africa into the market for COVID-19 diagnostics. Nature 580:7805565
    [Google Scholar]
  144. Nordhaus WD 2006. Paul Samuelson and global public goods. Samuelsonian Economics and the Twenty-First Century M Szenberg, L Ramrattan, AA Gottesman 88–98 Oxford, UK: Oxford Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  145. Oqubay A. 2020. Ethiopia's unconventional COVID-19 response. Project Syndicate May 29. https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/ethiopia-successful-unconventional-covid19-response-by-arkebe-oqubay-2020-05
    [Google Scholar]
  146. Osendarp S, Akuoku JK, Black RE, Headey D, Ruel M et al. 2021. The COVID-19 crisis will exacerbate maternal and child undernutrition and child mortality in low- and middle-income countries. Nat. Food 2:7476–84
    [Google Scholar]
  147. Pandey G. 2020. Coronavirus in India: desperate migrant workers trapped in lockdown. BBC News April 22. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-52360757
    [Google Scholar]
  148. Parodi E, Jewkes S, Cha S, Park J-M. 2020. Special report: Italy and South Korea virus outbreaks reveal disparity in deaths and tactics. Reuters March 12. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-response-specialre-idUSKBN20Z27P
    [Google Scholar]
  149. Perrigo B. 2020. White supremacist groups are recruiting with help from coronavirus—and a popular messaging app. Time April 8. https://time.com/5817665/coronavirus-conspiracy-theories-white-supremacist-groups/
    [Google Scholar]
  150. Peterman A, O'Donnell M 2020. COVID-19 and violence against women and children CGD Note, Cent. Global Dev. Washington, DC:
  151. Porter C, Favara M, Hittmeyer A, Scott D, Jiménez AS et al. 2021. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on anxiety and depression symptoms of young people in the Global South: evidence from a four-country cohort study. BMJ Open 11:4e049653
    [Google Scholar]
  152. Rahman HZ, Matin I. 2020. Livelihoods, coping, and support during COVID-19 crisis Rep., Brac Inst. Gov. Dev. Dhaka, Bangladesh:
  153. Rajkumar RP. 2020. COVID-19 and mental health: a review of the existing literature. Asian J. Psychiatry 52:102066
    [Google Scholar]
  154. Ravindran S, Shah M. 2020. Unintended consequences of lockdowns: COVID-19 and the shadow pandemic NBER Work. Pap. 27562
  155. Reza HM, Agarwal V, Sultana F, Bari R, Mobarak AM 2021. Why vaccination rates are lagging in low- and middle-income countries: a view from Bangladesh Work. Pap., North South Univ. Dhaka, Bangladesh:
  156. Ritchie H, Ortiz-Ospina E, Beltekian D, Mathieu E, Hasell J et al. 2020. Coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) Data, Our World Data Oxford, UK: retrieved Dec. 1, 2021
  157. Roberts S. 2020. Flattening the Coronavirus curve. New York Times March 27. https://www.nytimes.com/article/flatten-curve-coronavirus.html
    [Google Scholar]
  158. Romm T. 2020. Facebook will remove misinformation about coronavirus. Washington Post Jan. 31. https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/01/30/facebook-coronavirus-fakes/
    [Google Scholar]
  159. Rutkowski M, Mora AG, Bull GL, Guermazi B, Grown C. 2020. Responding to crisis with digital payments for social protection: short-term measures with long-term benefits. World Bank Blogs March 31. https://blogs.worldbank.org/voices/responding-crisis-digital-payments-social-protection-short-term-measures-long-term-benefits
    [Google Scholar]
  160. Samuelson PA. 1954. The pure theory of public expenditure. Rev. Econ. Stat. 36:4387–89
    [Google Scholar]
  161. Sandefur J. 2021. World Bank grants for global vaccination—why so slow?. Nature 594:7864475
    [Google Scholar]
  162. Sherrard-Smith E, Hogan AB, Hamlet A, Watson OJ, Whittaker C et al. 2020. The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa. Nat. Med. 26:91411–16
    [Google Scholar]
  163. Shonchoy AS, Ishtiaq KS, Talukder S, Ahmed NU, Chowdhury R. 2021. A novel index-based decision support toolkit for safe reopening following a generalized lockdown in low and middle-income countries. Sci. Rep. 11:11–14
    [Google Scholar]
  164. Singh KD, Kumar H. 2021. COVID-19 pushes India's middle class toward poverty. New York Times April 16. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/16/business/economy/india-covid19-middle-class.html
    [Google Scholar]
  165. Solís Arce JS, Warren SS, Meriggi NF, Scacco A, McMurry N et al. 2021. COVID-19 vaccine acceptance and hesitancy in low- and middle-income countries. Nat. Med. 27:81385–94
    [Google Scholar]
  166. Staab S. 2020. COVID-19 sends the care economy deeper into crisis mode. UN Women April 22. https://data.unwomen.org/features/COVID-19-sends-care-economy-deeper-crisis-mode
    [Google Scholar]
  167. Swanson I. 2020. State warns foreigners “attacked” in Ethiopia over coronavirus fears. The Hill March 18. https://thehill.com/policy/international/488322-state-warns-foreigners-attacked-in-ethiopia-over-coronavirus-fears
    [Google Scholar]
  168. Taub A. 2020. A new COVID-19 crisis: Domestic abuse rises worldwide. New York Times April 6. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/06/world/coronavirus-domestic-violence.html
    [Google Scholar]
  169. Tregoning JS, Flight KE, Higham SL, Wang Z, Pierce BF 2021. Progress of the COVID-19 vaccine effort: viruses, vaccines and variants versus efficacy, effectiveness and escape. Nat. Rev. Immunol. 21:626–36
    [Google Scholar]
  170. UN Dep. Econ. Soc. Aff 2019. International migrant stock 2019 Dataset, Dep. Econ. Soc. Aff., United Nations New York:
  171. UN Women 2020. Whose time to care? Unpaid care and domestic work during COVID-19 Rep., United Nations Entity Gend. Equal. Empower. Women New York:
  172. UNESCO (UN Educ. Sci. Cult. Organ.) 2021. A snapshot of educational challenges and opportunities for recovery in Africa Pap., UNESCO Paris:
  173. Victora CG, Adair L, Fall C, Hallal PC, Martorell R et al. 2008. Maternal and child undernutrition: consequences for adult health and human capital. Lancet 371:9609340–57
    [Google Scholar]
  174. Viscusi WK, Masterman CJ. 2017. Income elasticities and global values of a statistical life. J. Benefit-Cost Anal. 8:2226–50
    [Google Scholar]
  175. von Carnap T, Almås I, Bold T, Ghisolfi S, Sandefur J. 2020. The macroeconomics of pandemics in developing countries: an application to Uganda CDG Work. Pap. 555, Cent. Global Dev. Washington, DC:
  176. Weiss DJ, Bertozzi-Villa A, Rumisha SF, Amratia P, Arambepola R et al. 2021. Indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on malaria intervention coverage morbidity, and mortality in Africa: a geospatial modelling analysis. Lancet Infect. Dis. 21:159–69
    [Google Scholar]
  177. Westcott B. 2021. Analysis: China and Russia want to vaccinate the developing world before the West. It's brought them closer than ever. CNN May 11. https://www.cnn.com/2021/05/11/china/china-russia-covid-vaccine-dst-intl-hnk/index.html
    [Google Scholar]
  178. Whizz Educ 2021. Measuring the impact of COVID-19 on learning in rural Kenya Rep., Whizz Educ. London:
  179. WHO (World Health Organ.) 2020a. COVID-19 and the need for action on mental health Policy Brief, World Health Organ. Geneva, Switz:.
  180. WHO (World Health Organ.) 2020b. Pulse survey on continuity of essential health services during the COVID-19 pandemic: interim report, 27 August 2020 Rep., World Health Organ. Geneva, Switz:.
  181. WHO (World Health Organ.) 2020c. The impact of COVID-19 on mental, neurological and substance use services Rep., World Health Organ. Geneva, Switz:.
  182. WHO (World Health Organ.) 2021a.. Second round of the national pulse survey on continuity of essential health services during the COVID-19 pandemic: January-March 2021: interim report, 22 April 2021 Rep., World Health Organ. Geneva, Switz:.
  183. WHO (World Health Organ.) 2021b. WHO Director-General's opening remarks at 148th session of the Executive Board Speech, World Health Organ Geneva, Switz:.
  184. Yusuf M. 2021. Kenyan schools reopen despite coronavirus concerns. VOA News Jan. 4. https://www.voanews.com/africa/kenyan-schools-reopen-despite-coronavirus-concerns
    [Google Scholar]
/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-economics-051520-025412
Loading
/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-economics-051520-025412
Loading

Data & Media loading...

Supplemental Material

Supplementary Data

  • Article Type: Review Article
This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error